Arc Mainnet · on-chain prediction game

Call the candle.
Win the stock.

Pick NVDA, TSLA, or SPY. Call green or red during a 30-second round and lock the displayed multiplier on-chain. Winners claim USDC, and 80% of every protocol fee buys and burns $PREDICT. Arc Mainnet deployment is pending.

  • 30sfixed rounds
  • 3stock markets
  • 80%of fees burned
NVDA · tokenized DEMO ROUND
Open —
Last —
Closes in —

Demo rounds run on fake prices. Production rounds will settle on-chain in USDC.

How it works

One ticket, three moves.

Pick a market

Choose NVDA, TSLA, or SPY. Each Arc Mainnet market runs on the same public 30-second schedule.

Rounds are on a fixed public schedule. No dev start button.

Call the candle

Green if you think the close prints above the open, red if below. Phase 1 locks one fixed multiplier and payout per call.

Exact ties push: your stake comes back, no questions.

Claim the result

The keeper settles automatically. Winning calls claim USDC; push or void rounds refund the full stake.

Claims never expire. The vault holds your win until you take it.

Calls lock
5 seconds before each round closes
Per-wallet cap
1% of round liquidity
Settlement
Guarded production price adapters; unhealthy closes push
Odds
≈1.92x per leg, rebalanced with the flow

The burn

Every ticket feeds the burn.

Predict Stocks takes no transfer tax and rents nothing. Value capture happens at the protocol fee — and most of it leaves supply forever, every round, on-chain, verifiable.

  • Buyback & burn. After each settlement batch, fees swap into $PREDICT and burn. Anyone can trigger it — no admin switch.
  • Liquidity reserve. This slice reinforces the reserve that backs locked fixed-odds liabilities. Phase 1 issues no vault shares or yield promises.
  • Treasury. Oracle upkeep, audits, tournament stock prizes. Multisig, capped, on-chain ledger.
$PREDICT burned since launch 0 launch week starts the count — tracked live from burn events

Roadmap

Printed like a chart.

  1. Ignition

    Week 0–2

    Landing, waitlist, transparent-brand assets, and the 30-second Call Board prototype.

  2. MVP

    Week 3–6

    Single-leg calls on NVDA, TSLA, and SPY with USDC settlement. Arc Mainnet deployment remains gated by audit and verified dependencies.

  3. Parlay

    Week 7–10

    Multi-leg tickets. Stock Mode payouts. Ticket receipts as NFTs. Streak airdrop snapshot.

  4. House

    Week 11–16

    House Vault staking. Weekly tournaments with stock prizes. Live burn dashboard.

  5. Open markets

    Week 17+

    Governed market listings, longer rounds, and a mobile PWA after Phase 1 proves safe.

Be there when the first round opens.

One email at token launch. One when the MVP goes live. That's the whole newsletter.

Questions

Before you call your first candle.

Is Arc Mainnet live yet?

Not yet. The application is configured for Arc Mainnet, but calls stay disabled until audited contracts and verified production dependency addresses are published.

What do I need to play?

An EVM wallet with USDC on Arc Mainnet and native USDC for gas. Tickets are placed from your own wallet — the game never takes custody of your keys.

How are winners decided?

Every round reads a guarded production equity-price adapter. If the close prints above the open, GREEN wins; below, RED. Exact ties push and stakes return. An unhealthy close also pushes and refunds every stake.

When does the token launch?

The verified $PREDICT address and launch details will be published before activation. Do not trust an address from replies, direct messages, or an unverified deployment.